諾貝爾經濟學家預測人工智慧將使GDP僅增長1.5%
諾貝爾經濟學家達龍·阿塞莫格魯預測人工智慧將在十年內使GDP增長1.5%，最多取代5%的崗位。這個較為悲觀的預測影響了微軟的人工智慧戰略。
nobel economist daron acemoglu, published by microsoft, predicts ai will boost gdp by 1.5% over ten years and replace at most 5% of jobs. he identifies human nature as a bottleneck, citing the need for companies to reassign tasks, upskill workers, and restructure before productivity gains kick in. acemoglu argues that ai that extends human skills will be more productive than full automation, which aligns with microsoft's strategy of integrating ai into existing products. this forecast is more bearish than some ai labs' predictions.