诺贝尔经济学家预测人工智能将使GDP仅增长1.5%
诺贝尔经济学家达龙·阿塞莫格鲁预测人工智能将在十年内使GDP增长1.5%，最多取代5%的岗位。这个较为悲观的预测影响了微软的人工智能战略。
nobel economist daron acemoglu, published by microsoft, predicts ai will boost gdp by 1.5% over ten years and replace at most 5% of jobs. he identifies human nature as a bottleneck, citing the need for companies to reassign tasks, upskill workers, and restructure before productivity gains kick in. acemoglu argues that ai that extends human skills will be more productive than full automation, which aligns with microsoft's strategy of integrating ai into existing products. this forecast is more bearish than some ai labs' predictions.