Nobel economist predicts AI will boost GDP by just 1.5%

nobel economist daron acemoglu, published by microsoft, predicts ai will boost gdp by 1.5% over ten years and replace at most 5% of jobs. he identifies human nature as a bottleneck, citing the need for companies to reassign tasks, upskill workers, and restructure before productivity gains kick in. acemoglu argues that ai that extends human skills will be more productive than full automation, which aligns with microsoft's strategy of integrating ai into existing products. this forecast is more bearish than some ai labs' predictions.