Anthropic 聯合創始人預測 AI 自我改進時間提前至 2027 年
anthropic 聯合創始人 jack clark 基於 tasteval 基準測試,將 ai 自我改進時間預測提前至 2027 年。這將影響 ai 研究方向和資金分配。
anthropic co-founder jack clark has moved his prediction for recursive self-improvement in ai to 2027. the prediction is based on the tasteval benchmark developed by p-zero research, which measures an ai system's ability to design experiments and interpret results. the benchmark has shown a steep improvement curve, with capabilities roughly doubling every three months since december 2025. the best model tested, anthropic's opus 5.5, outperformed human experts at a fraction of the cost. this rapid progress could change the direction of ai research and funding.