Anthropic 联合创始人预测 AI 自我改进时间提前至 2027 年
anthropic 联合创始人 jack clark 基于 tasteval 基准测试，将 ai 自我改进时间预测提前至 2027 年。这将影响 ai 研究方向和资金分配。
anthropic co-founder jack clark has moved his prediction for recursive self-improvement in ai to 2027. the prediction is based on the tasteval benchmark developed by p-zero research, which measures an ai system's ability to design experiments and interpret results. the benchmark has shown a steep improvement curve, with capabilities roughly doubling every three months since december 2025. the best model tested, anthropic's opus 5.5, outperformed human experts at a fraction of the cost. this rapid progress could change the direction of ai research and funding.