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gary marcus · 2026年8月5日

马斯克赌100万美元:Optimus机器人将在2029年取代外科医生

gary marcus下注100萬美元,認為elon musk預測tesla optimus機器人將在2029年超越人類外科醫生是不可能的。這場爭論凸顯了機器人炒作與技術現實之間的巨大鴻溝。

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gary marcus publicly countered elon musk's assertion that tesla optimus bots will be 'better surgeons than any human' by 2029, escalating a debate about ai timelines with a $1m wager. roboticist rodney brooks supported marcus, emphasizing that current technology lacks the visual-spatial capabilities and stability to operate on living animals, let alone humans. this conflict illustrates a critical divergence in the industry: software-only scaling versus the complex physical constraints of hardware and motor control. until robotics solve for unpredictable environments and high-stakes dexterity, human surgeons remain irreplaceable.

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