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the decoder · 2026年9月28日

pinkor 倡導務實的 AI 安全工程,反對末日式恐慌

哈佛心理學家 steven pinker 認為末日式 ai 場景是誇張的,倡導安全工程。這挑戰了 scott alexander 的 20% 風險評估。

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harvard psychologist steven pinker argues that fears of ai wiping out humanity are exaggerated, citing examples like the paperclip maximizer as unrealistic. he instead focuses on real dangers such as bioterrorism, cyberattacks, and unchecked ai agents. pinker advocates for sober safety engineering through independent oversight, liability, and human control. this stance contrasts with scott alexander's, who estimates a 20% chance of ai causing human extinction and calls for better safety research and international agreements to slow ai development. pinker's views are part of a broader debate on ai safety and risk assessment.

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