Model suggests AI-driven economy could double every four to eight months

this analysis models a post-agi economy where production recipes are reoptimized for new factor prices, specifically near-zero labor costs and higher effective interest rates. by analyzing four channels—stripping human-specific services, closing plant productivity gaps, building short-lived capital, and shifting to labor-intensive methods—the model estimates a doubling time of four to eight months. construction and deployment lags become increasingly restrictive at these high growth rates, potentially limiting speed. the findings rely solely on existing or historically observed production methods, excluding future technological innovations which are reserved for a subsequent analysis.