18% of AI researchers foresee extinction scenario by 2024
nearly one in five ai researchers expected an extinction scenario from ai back in 2024. this matters as it highlights growing concerns about ai risks.
a recent survey of 1,500+ leading ai researchers published by ai impacts found that the average respondent estimated an 18 percent probability of ai causing human extinction or permanent disempowerment by 2024. some researchers estimated risks as high as 100 percent. this data supports warnings from prominent ai researchers, including jacob coxon of anthropic, daniel selsam of openai, and bilal chughtai, formerly of google deepmind. they have expressed concerns about ai's potential to develop unintended goals, exhibit emergent behaviors, and pose existential risks to humanity. these concerns are sparking debates about the pace of ai development, safety protocols, and the need for coordination between ai companies.