최첨단 AI 우위 기간이 1년에서 7주로 줄어든 이유
epoch ai 데이터에 따르면 모델 우위 기간이 gpt-4의 12개월 리드에서 중앙값 기준 단 7주로 짧아졌으며, 이는 치열한 경쟁과 신규 출시 모델의 우위 마진 축소를 시사합니다.
research from epoch ai highlights a drastic reduction in the longevity of state-of-the-art ai models, with gpt-4 holding the top spot for about a year compared to the current median of just seven weeks. since february 2024, the lead position has changed hands 17 times, with openai's o1 holding the second-longest reign at only three months. this shift suggests the market has moved from a single dominant outlier to a cycle of rapid, iterative improvements where labs trade advantages quickly. it signals that building a sustainable moat around model capability is becoming increasingly difficult as labs release updates more frequently.