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the decoder · 2026年7月3日

安全基准已坏:1亿 token 解锁隐藏的 agent 能力

英國 aisi 發現,增加計算資源可使網路任務中 ai agent 的成功率提高 25%,表明標準的固定預算評估系統性地低估了前沿模型的風險和能力。

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the uk's ai safety institute tested frontier models across seven benchmarks and found that performance scales significantly with test-time compute, contradicting standard fixed-budget evaluation methods. in cybersecurity and software engineering tasks, success rates increased by up to 25% when token budgets rose from one million to ten million, with some tasks requiring over 100 million tokens to solve. researchers discovered a power law linking human task duration to agent token consumption, implying that fixed budgets cap potential on complex problems before the agent actually fails. newer models gain more from extra compute than older ones, extending their reach to harder tasks and increasing reliability on existing ones, which signals that current safety testing may provide a false sense of security about model limits.

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