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the decoder · 2026年10月21日

Deepmind创始人哈萨比斯将AGI时间线缩短至2-3年

demis hassabis 现在认为agi可能在2到3年内实现,比他今年早些时候估计的3到5年要短得多. 这一变化影响了人工智能研究界,并提高了agi发展的风险.

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demis hassabis, founder of google deepmind and nobel laureate in chemistry, now believes artificial general intelligence agi could arrive within two to three years. previously, he estimated three to five years. hassabis defines agi as a system matching the full cognitive range of the human brain. he uses the 'einstein test' to gauge progress: could a system trained only on pre-1901 knowledge reproduce einstein's 1905 papers. hassabis has compared agi's impact to '10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed.'

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